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Long Lasting Winter by Stormy on March 09, 2013 Groundhogs make weather predictions, but can you put your money on the bet? On February 2 I crawled out of my burrow and took a look at the weather. The bright shining sun made me think that winter isn’t quite over. It’s counterintuitive, but that’s the way it works. A lot of time I find myself butting heads with Punxsutawney Phil and 2013 was just such a year. Two hours before I made my weather call, Phil declared, “There will be an early spring.” While Phil’s own website claims that he is 100% on target with his predictions, AccuWeather reviewed his predictions against actual weather records and determined that he is at best 80% on target. The Canadian Encyclopedia, a service of the Historica Foundation, pinned the prediction accuracy at 37% and the National Climactic Data Center referred to Phil’s forecasts as “on average, inaccurate”, adding a conclusion to the analysis that, “The groundhog has shown no talent for predicting the arrival of spring, especially in recent years.” Look this way, folks! I’ve got your forecast. I called for more winter on Groundhog Day and today Colorado got slammed by a winter storm. I’m thinking a few more weeks and we can start thinking about what crops to plant in the garden. In the meantime, it looks like there’s plenty of snow to start building snow castles. |
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